Pronostico del bitcoin 2018

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El objetivo era claro: apoyar el tipo de cambio del rublo bajo las sanciones. En Estambul. Otra incertidumbre la introduce la Fed. Pero esto tampoco es todo. Los niveles de resistencia son 1. En cuanto a la semana pasada, luego de que el par subiera a Le siguen las zonas El CEO de DataDash, Nicholas Merten, cree que los inversores a corto plazo y los comerciantes con apalancamiento influyen en la volatilidad de bitcoin y las "ballenas" influyen en el crecimiento.

Al mismo tiempo, las "ballenas", por el contrario, no vendieron criptomonedas He developed the concept of operating with the digital currency "Cybercoin". The company used a voucher system in which each coin was a digital code stored on a hard drive.

Encryption was performed using algorithms that were publicly available. To prevent double payments, the transaction had to confirm through a Central server Sixt, , p. This software was protecting email users from spam and viruses, blocking computers Sixt, , p. The idea of creating a common database, which could store the history of all transactions, was invented in by Harper and Stornet. The concept assumed that the user will be able to obtain a document on the transactions from the Central server in the shortest possible time, and which will contain a link to previous operations.

This gave the opportunity to fully display a pattern of made payments and transfers Sixt, , p 6. In , Wai Dai has developed "b-money" concept, allowing use of scriptblock as code of network "Peer-to-Peer-Netzwerk". In the period between Nick Szabo developed a monetary system "Bit-Gold".

His invention was based on the approach of Adam Beck, with the difference that the Sabo code suggested the possibility of using digital values of the cryptocurrency repeatedly Sixt, , p. The concepts had a significant drawback, which was a double bill of digital coins. Accordingly, it could not be trusted by users and could not be applied in the market of goods and services.

The problem was solved on His idea had the following features in contrast to the previously proposed. Within the outsourcing and creation of a decentralized network to request confirmation of the transaction in the form of "mining" — a reward for the creation of subsequent coins, using the algorithm proposed by Wai Dai. The combination of the use of the Wai-Dai code and the reproduction of all possible transactions the Harper and Stornet concept led to the solution of the problem of double counting of coins and the development of a decentralized system without the appearance of intermediaries between operations.

The system also provided the full confidence of users in reliability of the transactions and was given the opportunity to track every action in the network Sixt, , p. In , the bitcoin. Up to was started the work on the creation and release of the first Bitcoin client.

The reward was 50 Bitcoins. In the same year, the currency began to gain popularity, and users started actively create new coins. The concept assumed the release of a certain amount of money, so the mining was controlled by increasing the complexity of the algorithms. In the beginning, it was enough to have one personal computer, but now requires special equipment with high power processor s. In financial community had no idea about the possibilities of a new financial asset, so the rate of Bitcoin to the dollar was very low — Bitcoins per 1 USD.

The current level of development of Bitcoin began to acquire with the assistance of the first company "New Liberty Standard", which began to publish the rate of the coin. The time of emergence and development of cryptocurrencies and, in particular, Bitcoin corresponds to the period of financial crisis of , and this fact can hardly be considered as accident.

In our opinion, the appearance of cryptocurrencies in the market at that time was a reaction to the financial crisis, when the governments of many countries began to put pressure on their financial systems to "whitewash" their black and gray areas. This, accordingly, created a demand for alternative, uncontrolled payment systems for various segments of the shadow business.

In addition, the first transaction of Bitcoin, which was carried out in by the Creator of the currency — Satoshi Nakamoto, belongs to the same period. Then the recipient of the coins became a programmer Hal Finney — the Creator of "algorithm proof of work done" Sixt, ,p. A few months later Bitcoin exchange rate has increased significantly and the same 10 Bitcoins costed USD on the Such a sharp rise of cryptocurrency, apparently, caused the publication about Bitcoin on the website "Slashdot".

Soon the first Bitcoin burse — "MtGox" — was created. This meant that Bitcoin already had sufficient liquidity in the market and the exchange created profits on the price rate fluctuations. In , the volume of transactions on purchase and sale of Bitcoins has reached 1 USD mln Informatsionnyy sayt Bitcoin, The first problem faced by Bitcoin — the lack of material security.

The exchange rate, both then and now, is governed exclusively by supply and demand. As a result of constant attacks and hacking of the burse "MtGox" they managed to lower the rate of of Bitcoin to 0,01 USD. At such a low price, Bitcoins were bought or stolen from users ' wallets. Since the second half of , a sharp increase in Bitcoin transactions began Pic. The new financial instrument gained recognition in the financial world during this period. The peak was in , when the Bitcoin exchange rate reached its historic high of that period on the level of USD.

In the same year, the owner of an anonymous trading platform "Silk Road", which could be accessed through the anonymous browser Tor Grinberg, ; Popper, was arrested. A large proportion of the goods on the site were weapons, drugs, Bank card details and personal data. In the media, this story received great publicity with reference to the fact that payments were made in Bitcoins and the Bitcoin rate fell sharply.

Also, the decline was affected by an article published in the magazine Forbes, which informed about the site through which funds were collected for the murder of politicians. In this case the payment was Also made by Bitcoin. All negative sides were reflected in the fall of the rate, but at the end of the same year the situation stabilized and the rate reached its new maximum of USD InformatsionnyysaytBitcoin, Picture 2 Dynamics of the number of Bitcoin transactions, thousand units.

Thus, in , Bitcoin was in the focus of attention of the entire financial world, which raised concerns for the stability of traditional currencies and led to the desire of countries to control the flow of cryptocurrency. Increasingly, there were cases of buying and selling drugs or weapons with the help of Bitcoins. In , there was a collapse of the Bitcoin exchange, which led to a sharp fall in the exchange rate. In addition, the theft of Bitcoins from network users resumed.

In early January, the first secure cryptocurrency vault "Elliptic Vault" was opened. The change of public interest to Bitcoin over the past 5 years can be tracked by the chart of such indicator as "requests on the Internet". Picture 3 Number of requests for the keyword "Bitcoin" by users in the Google search system from November to November , thousand units. In , the popularity of Bitcoin for the first time crossed the mark of "0" and at the end of for the first time was the first recorded abnormal surge of interest to Bitcoin.

In , the popularity of Bitcoin was kept on a high level, but due to the crisis in decreased slightly and remained at a low level until mid From to , the number of requests to Google has steadily increased, and by the end of there was already a sharp increase in the popularity of the currency.

In interest to Bitcoin continued to increase and at the same time appeared first companies and countries that announced their intention to work with Bitcoins. Another example of the growing popularity of cryptocurrencies was the country of Vanuatu, which offered to buy its citizenship for Bitcoins. The cost was Upon receipt of citizenship was supposed to pass a number of mandatory checks under the laws of the country, and all transactions were carried out through a partner state — the burse of Australia.

This decision was made taking into account the fact that many Bitcoin investors are looking for ways to invest their savings with the payment of low taxes. In Vanuatu, it is possible to acquire tangible assets without paying high taxes, which was supposed to trigger the popularity of the new citizenship program. Citizens of Vanuatu also have the opportunity to travel visa-free in more than countries, including some European countries Haig, The airline "StarJetsInternationalLLC", engaged in providing business jets for private flights, announced the possibility of paying for its services by Bitcoins.

This was done to improve its competitiveness in the air transport market, as well as to improve the comfort and attractiveness of its services Sterlin, Relatively recently, online Megamarket "Amazon. For this there are several services and one such service is the platform "Purse. The site allows the buyer to chooses the product on the site "Purchase.

After he pays for the goods by ordinary money, the goods are sent to the buyer, and Bitcoins come to the account of the user who wanted to buy Bitcoins and paid for the goods in traditional money Demartino, It should also be noted the policy of the Corporation "Google" in the direction of the introduction of Bitcoin, which has upgraded its API to work with payment systems and added the ability to pay with Bitcoins.

Starting from Japan has one of the most developed economies in the world, so the official recognition of Bitcoin as a payment instrument was the reason for active investment operations and an increase in the rate to a record peak at that time. We intentionally present a chart that ends with this date, as in the next four weeks Bitcoin exchange rate more than doubled, reaching to Therefore, if we presented a graph that includes this period, it would smooth out most of the decreases and growths.

So it could be rather hard to visually track the events described above. Picture 4 Bitcoin to USD exchange rate for the period from However, the Fund itself warned users against deposits only in such currency because of its instability. On August 1, , another currency unit "Bitcoin Cash" was created on the basis of Bitcoin. This decision was made on the basis of the inability of Bitcoin to perform a large number of transactions.

When it was created, the possibility of high popularity in the market was not taken into account, so now Bitcoin requires modernization. So if the account consisted 5 Bitcoins, after It should be noted that in a number of countries restrictions and prohibitions on the use of cryptocurrencies are introduced, and this can affect its popularity and cost. Therefore, it is possible that for some time the Bitcoin exchange rate can be adjusted.

Nevertheless, popularity among users, availability of algorithms for mining, publications in the media that form the interest of both existing investors and attract new ones are likely to support it on a high level. The main competitor of Bitcoin today is Ethereum the value of the coin on Ethereum appeared in and was developed by Russian programmer Vitaly Buterin. Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum is widely used by application developers to pay fees and services.

Ethereum creation rectified some of the shortcomings of Bitcoin. So, in this network it is possible to decentralize earlier centralized systems. You can make changes to the Blockchain only with the permission of all network members. This eliminates fraud and the possibility of corruption, but does not help to modernize the network.

The Ethereum network operates on the basis of so-called" Smart contracts", which work on the principle of achieving a certain value and execution after a given action. It should be noted that after the creation of a smart contract, it is possible to make changes to it only with the consent of all members, which means full transparency of the operation and eliminates possible fraud on both sides.

The Ethereum network has convenient functionality with the help of the Ethereum Virtual machine EVM , which allows you to add and change functions in the application. Another advantage is the ability to write programs in any of the known programming languages Popper, a. Every year, more and more companies speak in favor of cryptocurrencies and offer cooperation.

Thus, the transnational company "Oracle" presented at the conference "OpenWorld " a new cloud space, due to which customers can create blockchain applications. A full launch is planned for So the company joins other corporations based on the concept of Baas the Blockchain-as-a-service. The same concept is already used by such corporations as IBM and Microsoft.

Thanks to the launch of such a platform, Oracle Corporation plans to expand its cloud technologies and attract more customers. This direction is called "Blockchain Cloud Service" and will have advantages for Start-up companies. They will be able to test their applications through the Oracle space offered for a relatively low price Condon, Today, the sphere of cryptocurrencies is at the stage of formation and development. Quite interesting are the statements of some top managers of the IMF.

Thus, managing Director Christine Lagarde turned the side of digital money and expressed her desire to participate in the development of a new financial direction. Also, Christine Lagarde considers the possible development of cryptocurrency based on special drawing rights project SDR , which has all the possibilities to apply the functions of the Blockchain.

But the only fact of such discussion on such a high level suggests that the popularity of digital money is likely to grow, and their rate, respectively, increase. Most recently, the Bitcoin exchange rate reached its new historical maximum of 20 USD In our opinion, Bitcoin, on the one hand, is very similar to the "Giffen product", i.

But on the other hand, if economic theory determines the group of Gifen goods, as, in most cases, inexpensive, but without which it is extremely difficult for the population to do, then Bitcoin does not really fit into this definition. At this point, for many researchers, including us, it has become absolutely obvious that most of the holders of cryptocurrencies have opened their positions not to carry out calculations.

Cryptocurrency investors were exclusively motivated by the desire to receive super profits from the growth of capitalization of this market. It was natural to create a digital currency that could simplify payments and make anonymity in the network. Its popularization in and further development is most likely related to the pressure of governments of a number of countries on business entities of the financial sector in order to identify and eliminate black and gray zones in the financial systems.

Current Bitcoin exchange rate looks highly overrated. However, even with the onset of both deep and not very significant correction, further growth of the Bitcoin rate is quite possible. Such a hypothesis can be put forward, based on the growing popularity of the cryptocurrency and the demand on it.

We can assume that every year more and more companies will offer payments in cryptocurrency, trying not to lose both existing and potential customers. Cryptocurrencies are an almost ideal way to conduct financial transactions in the shadow sector. The emergence of a qualitatively new tool in the global financial system — cryptocurrencies, which are able to simplify payment transactions, reducing their cost by eliminating intermediaries and at the same time give anonymity to operations, was expected and natural.

Which of the existing cryptocurrencies will become prevalent in the financial system, at this moment is not possible to predict, but the fact is that this new type of currency is confidently included in the daily life of business and the population, and this may mean that the world economy is currently stand on the verge of unpredictable revolutionary changes.

Bennhold, K. How to Catch Hackers? Cai, Y. Fraud detections for online businesses: a perspective from blockchain technology. Financial Innovation, 2 1 , Cap, C. Bitcoin — das Open-Source-Geld. Condon, S. Oracle rolls out Blockchain Cloud Service. Demartino, I. Dierksmeier, C.

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